Have Wars Strengthened Iran?

While cognizant of the fact that the United States has spent much of the past 25 years engaged in wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, some statistics I came across today about population migration left me dumbstruck.

PeopleMovin IraqThe United States has had troops in and around Iraq since the early 1990s when I was still wearing the uniform of an Air Force officer.  Since then, we’ve rid the country of an evil dictator and brought about something akin to democratic rule.  As a result, one might think the good ol’ USA a top choice among the 1.5 million Iraqi emigrants.

But it’s not.  Instead, Iran is the top migrant destination of Iraqis — 379,356 in fact!

Not far away, the U.S. has had troops in Afghanistan in a big way since just after Sept. 11, 2001.  Almost a dozen years!  During that time, we’ve purportedly made inroads toward ridding the country of evil Taliban fighters who oppress the Afghan citizenry.  As a result, one might think the good ol’ USA might be a top destination of Afghans opting to leave their war-torn country for better lives.

PeopleMovinAfghWrong again.  The leading designation of Afghan emigrants is, once again, Iran — to the tune of 1.7 million choosing to live there!

Makes one wonder if, by choosing to wage war in Iraq and Afghanistan, we ended up strengthening Iran instead.

Just a thought as we enter another weekend.

Bob McCarty is the author of Three Days In August: A U.S. Army Special Forces Soldier’s Fight For Military Justice, a nonfiction book that’s available in paperback and ebook via most online booksellers, including Amazon.com. His second book, The CLAPPER MEMO, is coming soon.

 

 

What Was Going On In Israel Today? (Update)

At 4 p.m. Central Thursday, a Google Alert for the term, “Israeli Air Force,” arrived in my inbox.  The alert contained a link to an article purportedly published today on the Jewish Telegraphic Agency blog.

The summary of the article caused quite a bit of concern in my mind:

… Benjamin Netanyahu, has just ordered roughly one hundred F-15Es, F-16Is, F-16Cs, and other aircraft of the Israeli air force to fly east toward Iran—possibly by crossing Saudi Arabia, possibly by threading the border between Syria and Turkey, ….

When I clicked on the article’s headline, Jeff Goldberg & the attack on Iran, I was whisked to a JTA web page minus any sign of the article:

Upon arriving at the site, several explanations for what might have taken place and resulted in the faulty link crossed my mind:

Did the Israeli government put the kabosh on the folks at JTA for publishing the article?

Did something far less controversial — perhaps, a web site design error or problem with a link — cause today’s case of the mysterious disappearing article?

Did Israel conduct some sort of information warfare exercise against Iran?

Or did something else happen?

I’d be interested in your thoughts.

Meanwhile, I wait for a response to an inquiry I sent to the JTA newsroom, asking for an explanation.  I’ll let you know if I receive a reply.

NOTE: Just before deciding to publish this article, I ran a Google Advanced Search for “Benjamin Netanyahu” and “Israeli Air Force.”  That search produced 33 results, including a link to the aforementioned JTA article which appeared twice among the six most-recent results.

UPDATE 6/24/11 at 10:56 p.m. Central: It appears the Jeff Goldberg story is now “live” at the website.  Still waiting for an explanation as to why the story took so long to appear on the site.  Police officer:  “Alright, citizens, nothing to see here.  Move along.”

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Chinese Leader’s Visit Stirs Memories

This week’s visit to the United States by Chinese President Hu Jintao stirred memories of this blog’s coverage of the “Red Dragon” during the past four years.  Below, I share four of my favorite China-related editorial cartoons prepared by my liberal cartoonist friend David Donar at Political Graffiti.  Enjoy!

1) The cartoon above appeared Dec. 16, 2009, in the post, China Plays It Smart While Democrats Destroy:  What You Need to Know About Your Energy Future.  Sadly, things have gotten much worse in the energy sector since this was published.

2) This cartoon appeared Nov. 11, 2009, in the post, Did Obama Throw Tibetans Under the Bus? Unfortunately, it seems we’ve all been thrown under the bus.

3) This cartoon appeared Oct. 1, 2009, in the post, Which Country is Helping Iran Most? The answer is obvious, but Russia is running close behind in second place.

4) This cartoon appeared May 9, 2008, in the post, Flame in Hand, Chinese Conquer Everest.

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World Too Dangerous for Well-Intentioned Amateurs

By Paul R. Hollrah, Guest Blogger

Sixty-six years and six months ago, the largest amphibious force ever assembled sailed across the stormy waters of the English Channel, bound for the heavily fortified beaches of Normandy, France.  Nearly half of the 156,000 invasion troops were Americans.  They and the troops of allied nations suffered massive casualties that day as they waded ashore under the withering fire of German infantry and artillery.  Nearly 2,500 American and 1,920 allied troops died in the invasion and tens of thousands more were wounded.

Between the Pearl Harbor attack Dec. 7, 1941, and the Japanese surrender Sept. 2, 1945, a period of 3 years, 8 months, and 26 days, the Unites States suffered 1,078,000 casualties, dead and wounded.  That was in a two-front war, of relatively short duration, but with relatively high casualty rates compared to more recent conflicts in Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq.

It gives us pause to consider former New York mayor Ed Koch’s warning in a recent edition of the Jewish World Review.  He said, “There was a time when the U.S. military said it was capable of fighting 2 1/2 wars at the same time.  Today, as a result of being bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan, we probably are unable to fight a third war, and our enemies know it.”

So how will the American people react to the very real prospect that we may be called upon to fight an open-ended war, on six fronts, simultaneously?  Although that prospect is now far from the American consciousness, who can deny that such an eventuality may be in our future?

The first attack of the third Islamic jihad began Nov. 4, 1979, when radical Iranian students occupied the American embassy in Tehran, taking 52 diplomats hostage and holding them for 444 days.  In subsequent years, radical Islam staged many additional attacks, but it wasn’t until Sept. 11, 2001, that jihadists made it clear that the major front in their war for worldwide domination had broadened to include the cities and towns of America:

  • On Dec. 25, 2009, Nigerian Muslim Umar Farouk Abdulmutalab, a passenger aboard a Northwest Airlines flight from Amsterdam to Detroit, attempted to detonate an explosive device hidden in his underwear.
  • On May 1, 2010, Pakistani immigrant Faisal Shahzad parked his 1993 Nissan Pathfinder on Times Square in New York.  Inside the SUV was a crude bomb made of propane and gasoline tanks, fireworks, 100 pounds of fertilizer, and a timing device.  The bomb failed to detonate.
  • In October 2010, authorities in England, Yemen and the U.S. uncovered a plot to ship explosive devices from Yemen to Jewish synagogues in Chicago.  One device was found in Great Britain, a second device was intercepted in Dubai.
  • On Nov. 26, the FBI and local police thwarted an attempt to detonate a car bomb at a Christmas tree lighting event in Portland’s (Ore.) Pioneer Courthouse Square.  The FBI and Portland police arrested the suspected bomber, 19-year-old Mohamed Osman Mohamud, a naturalized U.S. citizen of Somali descent.

The obvious question is, “How long will it be before these fumble-fingered terrorists perfect their bomb-making skills?”  These and the 9/11 atrocities, along with the Fort Hood massacre, are but the first of what radical Islam promises will be many years of terror attacks in a three-front war against the West.  And although leftist political sensibilities may soon cause us to withdraw from Iraq and Afghanistan, we cannot know when or how the domestic terror war will end.

For the first time in our history, we confront an enemy who does not distinguish between uniformed fighting forces and men, women and children in the civilian population; everyone is fair game.  And if so-called “moderate” Muslims continue to merely sit on their hands as interested spectators, then how can we escape the conclusion that it is not possible for a 21st century culture to coexist side-by-side with a 7th century culture?  Are the American people prepared to engage in a three-front war against Muslim extremists with a thirst for martyrdom and unlimited patience?

A fourth potential war front is now developing along our southern border where Mexican President Felipe Calderon appears unable to control drug-related violence on his side of the border.

The Mexican government reports that more than 31,000 people have been killed in drug-related violence since Calderon sent some 45,000 troops and federal police to battle the drug cartels in 2006.  According to the Houston Chronicle, at least 230 U.S. citizens have been killed in Mexico’s escalating wave of violence since 2003 – an average of nearly one killing a week.  The situation is such that Gov. Rick Perry (R-Texas) has suggested that it is time the United States used “every aspect of law enforcement that we have, including the military.”

What he fears, and what should be of major concern to all Americans is that, as violence grows in the Mexican border states the Mexican national police and the military will find their country to be all but ungovernable.  Anarchy will reign and both the peace-loving and the violence-prone will migrate northward in ever-growing numbers… the peace-loving looking for safety and security, the violence-prone looking for trouble.  And when the drug cartels and the Mexican military carry their fight across the border into Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, and California, the U.S. president, whether Democrat or Republican, will be forced to commit many thousands of U.S. troops to push them back.

When that happens, and as more and more U.S. and Canadian citizens are attacked and murdered in Mexican resort cities, our troops will find themselves pushing farther and farther south into Mexico to insure the safety of hundreds of thousands of North American expatriates.  We will quickly find ourselves engaged in war on a fourth front… a second Mexican War.  Are the American people prepared for that?

In addition to fighting wars against radical Islam in Iraq, Afghanistan, and the cities and towns of America, and fighting the Mexican drug cartels on our southern border and in Mexican border states, we may also find ourselves engaged in a shooting war against Iran on a fifth front in the Persian Gulf, in support of our allies in Israel and the Arab states of the region.  As Spengler writes in the Asian Times, “The difference between early 2008 and early 2010… is that Iran has had two years to enrich uranium, consolidate its grip on Syria, insert itself into Afghanistan, stockpile missiles with Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza, and build up its terror capabilities around the world.  The window is closing in which Iran may be contained.”

For more than three decades, through Republican and Democrat administrations alike, we have failed to take the steps necessary to bring about regime change in Tehran.  Have we waited too long?  When the time is ripe, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will let us know.  But, ready or not, are the American people prepared for yet another armed conflict in the Middle East… one that would almost certainly cause us to lose a critical portion of our imported energy supplies?

And finally, we find ourselves today with 25,000 American troops stationed along the DMZ in South Korea, where the North Koreans threaten our Japanese allies and use South Korean population centers for artillery target practice.  While Barack Obama may have unlimited patience for North Korean provocations, the South Koreans do not.  Apologizing to his people for not taking retaliatory action, South Korean president Lee Myung-bak has threatened massive retaliation if the artillery barrages continue… with 25,000 U.S. troops serving as the first line of defense against a North Korean force of 1.1 million active duty troops and 8.2 million reserves.

All of this takes place at a time when North Korea’s only major ally, the People’s Republic of China, has chosen to send an unspoken message to the Obama regime by test firing a rocket from a nuclear submarine just miles off the coast of southern California.  So if the North Koreans continue with their provocations and the South Koreans retaliate with massive force, what of the 25,000 U.S. troops on the DMZ?  Is there anyone outside the Obama White House and the New York Times who thinks that the United States could push back militarily, when the money to fund those military operations would have to be borrowed from… guess who… the Chinese?

It has become standard fare for our national political leaders to begin major foreign policy speeches with the warning that “we live in dangerous times.”  Yes, we live in dangerous times and we have the scars to prove it, but we have never before lived in a world quite as dangerous as the one in which we now find ourselves.  So if we are incapable, as Ed Koch suggests, of fighting three wars simultaneously, how could we possibly wage war on as many as six fronts simultaneously… in the U.S., Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, Mexico and Korea?

During the 2008 Democrat primaries, Hillary Clinton asked, rhetorically, who the American people would rather have answering the White House telephone at 3:00 a.m., she or Barack Obama.  As it turns out, with Obama sleeping next to that telephone, the rest of us find it more and more difficult to get a good night’s sleep.

Obama’s foreign policy initiatives… characterized mostly by inappropriate bows, national insults, snubs, diplomatic faux pas, outlandishly expensive grand tours, and big toothy grins… has been a complete failure.  His “kumbaya” style of foreign relations has caused us to lose not only the grudging respect of our enemies, but the trust and admiration of our allies, as well.

The world is far too dangerous a place to allow well-intentioned amateurs to play war games with our lives and with our precious freedoms.  It’s time we hired some adult leadership while we still can.

Hollrah is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Heritage Institute and a contributing editor for Family Security Matters and a number of online publications.  He resides in northeast Oklahoma.

Cyber Attack on USA Expected Tuesday?

It was almost 9 p.m. in Tehran as I published this post, and people around the world are still trying to decide what Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s threatened “punch” against the West is going to be.  Some influential Americans appear to think it might come as a cyber attack.

For more information, I direct your attention to an article by Marc Ambinder published yesterday at TheAtlantic.com.  It begins this way:

On February 16, at about 10:00 am ET, the U.S. will be hit by a massive, crippling cyber attack from an unknown entity. Key players will convene in the White House situation room and plan the response, from mitigation to (possibly) retaliation. It’ll be live on television — G.N.N.

Ambinder goes on to inform readers of an event — not an attack — that’s been dubbed “Cyber ShockWave” by its creators at the Bipartisan Policy Center and will take place Feb. 16 at 10 a.m. Eastern.

If this event’s list of participants — which, among others, includes former Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff — is any indication of its newsworthiness, then I’d have to conclude this is a must-follow event.  Unfortunately, however, the exercise’s credibility is tarnished by the inclusion of at least two individuals — Jamie Gorelick, former Deputy Attorney General, and Joe Lockhart, former White House Press Secretary — who’s political “baggage” tends to sully the supposed bipartisan nature of the exercise.

Iranian Leader Planning ‘Dirty Bomb’ Attack

Late last night, I noted on my Facebook wall that Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad had issued threats against the West, this time saying Iran will deliver a harsh blow to the “global arrogance” on this year’s anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, Feb. 11.

Because I pay scant attention to the Islamic Republic’s holiday calendar, I decided to do some research and find out if there’s any substance to President Ahmadinejad’s threat.  After exhaustive research, I was able to locate photographic evidence that the diminutive wannabe dictator-for-life has been collecting ingredients for a so-called “dirty bomb” which, I suspect, he will use to attack the West.  Click here to see that evidence.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Rather than provide a link to the Iranian government web site providing information about Mahmoud’s threats, I opted to grab the screen shot above and share it instead.

Iranian Doctor: ‘There are people drowning in Iran’

Editor’s Note: Originally posted yesterday at Gaze of a Nation, I share it with readers today, unedited, due to the time-sensitive nature of its content.

Aresh Hajazi, M.D.By Arash Hejazi, M.D.
Guest Blogger

Hundreds of newspapers have been shut down in Iran; international reporters have been banned; hundreds of Iranian journalists are in prison; internet has almost been shut down; the sophisticated filtering system has blocked the contact of the Iranian people with the world; the police is massacring people in the streets in broad daylight and then blames the violence on the people themselves; the government is giving out lies after lies; all the minority ethnic and religious groups are suffering from the official oppression; prisoners have been tortured, raped, murdered; the Basij militia shoots unarmed civilians in the streets; students have been expelled from the universities because of protesting against tyranny…

While you, people of the world, are celebrating the New Year by embracing your loved ones with joy, while you dance to the Christmas tunes, the young people in Iran are dancing to the macabre music of the bullets and embrace batons and teargas. While you are hugging each other and wishing a happy new year, mothers in Iran are forbidden to shed tears for their children who were brutally murdered by the police trucks running them over. The people of Iran are alone, they are broken, they are tired, but determined to go on.

Do you think this has nothing to do with you? Do you think that you only need to worry about your domestic affairs? Do you think that saying a few words of condemnation will redeem you from your global responsibility towards human rights? Is this the global citizenship you preach?

This is the most dangerous State in the world. Hesitate in acting and you will see how this government, rooted in lies, will destroy your own children. What do you expect? Do you think that a totalitarian regime that does not show mercy to its own children will have pity on your people? Do you think that this beast will stay calm and watch you? Wrong! Hesitate and see.

The people of Iran have spoken with their torn throat and through the last sparkle of life in Neda’s eyes; they have written their vows with their own blood on the pavements in the streets: They want to be global citizens, they resent terrorism, tyranny, lies, wars, nuclear weapons… and they have died the most brutal deaths for speaking out. Why are you watching silently? Do you think you are safe? Do you think that this cancer will be contained inside the borders or Iran? Do you think that the rotten claw of this grim reaper will not reach you? Wrong. Hesitate and see.

It is time to act. There are people drowning in Iran. Do not believe the lies of the Iranian government. This government that denies all these brutalities is the same that denies the Holocaust, that claims that there are no homosexuals in Iran, that Neda Agha Soltan was killed by CIA, MI6 and BBC, and there is freedom of press in Iran.

How to act? We do not want any violence. This government is falling. Just do not support the government. Do not recognise the current government of Iran. Do not negotiate with them – How can any negotiation with someone who tells nothing but lies and is willing to break any promise, be fruitful? Do not be deceived by their lies. Expel the Iranian ambassadors and diplomats. You will lose nothing and will gain everything by supporting the future of Iran. Hesitate, and you will be run over by the evil machines of this rotten government. Hesitate, and you will be weeping over the graves of your own children.

It is time to act. Hesitate, and when you regret your hesitation, it will be too late.

Hat tip: Bill Federer